Tuesday, October 6, 2015

CW PREIMERE WEEK IS FINALLY HERE








2 week after the official fall 2015 schedule of the Big Four Network premiered the majority of their shows, The CW’s Fall shows’ Premiere week is finally here.  Unlike the other networks, The CW’s ratings are much lower than the other four major networks.  The CW receives less viewers than the other networks because it is a smaller network.  They only are 10 hours of original series during Primetime (M-F 8:00-10:00) and is said that smaller towns and cities are CW audience.  So my predictions of The CW’s rating numbers will be lower than the other predictions I sent a week ago.





The Flash 1.6 or Greater


Tuesday Oct. 6th





The CW officially airs their new schedule on Tuesday and starting the night off is The networks highest Rated and Viewed show The Flash. 




Last season, The DC Comics’ Hit Series, The Flash opened up substantially high for The network.  It premiered with a 1.9 demographics of adults 18-49 with a total overall viewership of 4.83 million.  This may seem low or decent on the big four networks, but having numbers like this on The CW is rare.  It wasn’t only the network’s highest rated show, but it out beat lots of shows on the Big Four like, Parks and Recreations, Selfie, MARVEL, Chicago Fire, New Girl, The Mindy Project, etc on Tuesday Nights. 









The season 1 Finale of The Flash ended high as well with a 1.5 adults 18-49 demographics.  I predict that the show will Premiere tomorrow with a 1.6 or greater.  Nothing less.  The only competition it has is The Voice and maybe NCIS, but they won’t conflict with the show.  The Flash has loyal audience.





iZombie 0.7 @ Best



DC Comic Mid-season series iZombie will air it’s 2nd season and it’s Fall debut after The Flash.  Last season, iZombie was paired with The Flash and opened with a 0.8 adults 18-49 demographics with 2.28 million viewers.  These numbers are lower compared to The Flash, but, since once again The CW is a small network, it is expected for CW shows to have ratings under a 1.0 demo.  





If a CW show maintain their adults 18-49 demo with at least a 0.5 or greater, then this mean it will likely be renewed next season.  iZombie’s lowest ratings were a 0.5 (also its finale numbers too).  Ending with a 0.5 isn’t that good nor bad, but the series aired through June w/o an original Flash episode.  Usually finales of shows that are premiere from the fall-spring period end in mid- May.  But iZombie did not, just like The 100 which also premiered mid-season and ended it first season in June (The 100 aired after Arrow).  






My guess is that iZombie will open up with a 0.7 at best.  Unlike The 100, iZombie has a bigger lead-in and but also did better after The Flash ended in mid-May.  It’s made it to a 0.7 w/o The Flash as a lead-in.  The 100 reached a 0.6 w/o Arrow, so I expect iZombie to be higher than The 100’s premiere this year.  











Arrow 1.0 @ Best









The return of Arrow (My Favorite show is finally back with its’ 4th season.  I think Arrow will open up with 1.0 adults 18-49 at best.  Last year, Arrow opened up with a 1.0 demo and rose to a 1.4 series high (with The Flash/Arrow crossover episode) and ended with a 1.0 demo from its’ 3rd season finale.  








During the season 3 finale, The Arrow (soon to be the Green Arrow) said goodbye to his alter-ego and decided to live the life he’d always wanted.  The scene ends with Oliver Queen and Felicity (his girlfriend) driving to paradise, but this season will it last?






Supernatural 0.7-0.9







Supernatural, The CW longest lasting scripted series on The CW (and the old WB) airs it 11th season after Arrow.  I don’t like it will premiere above a 1.0 this week because it dropped during as low as a 0.6  from it 1.1 premiere.  








It’s still a top contender, finishing as that 3rd top rated show on the network only behind DC comic series Arrow #2 and The Flash #1.  Supernatural might première at a 0.8, but how low will it go this season?





The Vampire Diaries 0.7 at Best







Thursday night becomes Vampire night.  The Vampire Diaries and spin-off series of The Vampire Diaries, The Originals pair up to become a 2 hour night of blood sucking romance. 







TVD will open its 7th season w/o lead actress Nina Dobrev.  She exit the show on the season 6 finale.  Now the focus will be mainly on the two brothers Stefan and Damen.  The series that was once the networks top rated show for 5 season has dropped.  Season 6 was the series lowest season. It has been as low as a 0.5 based on key demographics adults 18-49.  







I think the show will open up with a 0.7 at best only because Elena Gilbert won’t be on the show.  Fans might want to see how the show is w/o their lead actress, but I won’t be surprised if it can’t reach a 0.7.  It seems like Vampires have run their course on The CW, Super heroes are taking over. 





The Originals 0.6 at Best





The Originals I’m saying a 0.6 at best because the show is a spin-off and has never out beaten it’s mothership. The Originals has seen been as low as a 0.4 demo and season 2 dropped over 30% from season 1.  However The Originals is likely to be on for one more season due to syndication so fans we will see at least one vampire show next for the 2016-2017 schedule.










Reign will receive a 0.3 on Fridays and here’s why.






After 2 seasons of weak performance on Thursdays after TVD, the network has decided to move Reign Fridays.  Season 2 of Reign opened with a 0.4, saw a 0.5 high, but ended low with a 0.3.  I thought that this series would have been cancelled because its’ ratings are so low.  But it’s The CW you never know with this network.  






*(The CW is a merged network, 50% CBS Corporation and 50% Warner Bros. will talk more about this in the future.)  Reign is a CBS production series and Audience skew to more W.B. shows than CBS.  All the Tuesday – Thursday shows are W.B. owned production show.  The only good thing about the lack of CBS show is that if a CBS and W.B. series are low rated and have similar ratings, the network will likely prefer a CBS than W.B. show due to the lack of CBS showings. 







Example Beauty and The Beast is a CBS owned production series and is one of the network’s lowest rated series.  It got picked up for a 3rd  and 4th season from the network for a summer series.  Despite receiving a series low of a 0.2, because it’s a CBS series, the network renewed it based on CBS benefits.




Reign too is on its 3rd season, but renewal is not a certainty because this season, the show was only picked up for 18 episodes down four episode from a full season order of 22.  Reign too could also see a fourth season, the question is will it be back on in the Fall next year, or will it be a summer series like BATB and get CBS benefits. 










America’s Next Top Model 0.4 at best








America’s Next Top Model will receive at least a 0.4.  After airing a new episode last week on its new night (Friday) the show received a 0.4. Top Model has loyal fans and usually remains at a healthy 0.4 on Fridays.  Top Model shouldn’t have a problem building on Reign’s 0.3 lead-in as it did with the finale of Masters of Illusions’ 0.3.  Reign and Top Model seem compatible.  Audience targets are drawn to female so the show shouldn’t go lower than 0.4.  If the show is lower than a 0.3-0.4, then that means Reign is a terrible lead-in show and should swap timeslots with Top Model.



Crazy Ex-Girlfriend 0.6 at best.




The only new series airing this fall from the network.  It’s kind of unusual for a broadcast network to air only one new show in the fall, but again this is the CW, nothing makes since.  In fact, this series was not on the pilot pick up order from the network.  This series was originally a failed pick up series order from cable network Showtime.  The CW had other series that we set to be potential series orders, however 2/5 they liked (saved for midseason) and they happened to like this series too.





The show focuses on a successful Harvard/Yale Graduate students who works and lives in New York City.  She is depressed because they one guy she loves rejected her (10 year ago from high school).  She sees him and she decides to moves to California after he states that he’s moving there.  This show is a musical-comedy series where we will hear some type of Broadway numbers. 





Personally, I like the show, it’s funny, stupid, doesn’t make since, and makes me laugh.  I like these kinds of comedy because it’s not what u expect.  I hope it does well for the network.  It tough to say because social media has mixed reviews, but the show won me over, so I hope it does well.






Jane The Virgin 0.5-0.6





Golden Globe actress winner Gina Rodriguez returns as Jane.  The first season stayed consistently in the 0.4-0.6 range.  Last season, the show ended with Jane giving birth to a baby boy and was stolen by Sin Rosetro.  The second season might open up to a 0.6 with the whereabouts of the baby and where the kidnapper is taking him.  Also, the only way I see the show performing under a 0.5 is if Crazy Ex-Girlfriend bombs the ratings!    









MIDSEASON SERIES



THE 100, Containment, and DC’s Legends or Tomorrow are to air sometime in 2016!










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